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Major global events are breaking out intensively! The Federal Reserve released a strong signal to cut interest rates, and gold soared nearly $100 in a single day.

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex]: Global major events broke out intensively! The Federal Reserve released a strong signal to cut interest rates, and gold soared by nearly a hundred dollars in a single day." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

On November 25, in early Asian trading on Tuesday, Beijing time, the U.S. dollar index was hovering around 100.20. On Monday, the U.S. dollar index fluctuated at high levels, stabilizing above the 100 mark, and finally closed up 0.025% at 100.2; U.S. bond yields generally fell, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. bond yield finally closing at 4.031%, and the 2-year U.S. bond yield, which is sensitive to the Federal Reserve's policy interest rate, closed at 3.51%. Buoyed by the market's increased expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next month, spot gold rose sharply, rising nearly $100 from the daily low, and finally closed up 1.69% at $4,134.79 per ounce; spot silver finally closed up 2.64% at $51.36 per ounce. As there is still no progress in the key issues of a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, international crude oil ended its three-day losing streak. WTI crude oil approached the US$59 mark and finally closed up 1.67% at US$58.89/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed up 1.39% at US$62.79/barrel.

Analysis of major currency trends

U.S. dollar index: As of press time, the U.S. dollar is hovering around 100.20. The trend of the US dollar weakened, and the market expected that the economy would be more likely to fall back in December. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has risen to 69%, up from 44% a week ago. Technically, if the US dollar index can fall below 100.15, it will move towards the resistance level of 101.00 to 101.15.

Euro: As of press time, EUR/USD is hovering at 1.15Around 21. U.S. economic data showed the labor market was not as bad as expected, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 119,000 in September, xmniubi.compared with expectations of 50,000. The economy remains resilient despite mixed results from the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and the S&P Global Rapid Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) at the end of the week. Technically, a break above 1.1550 would open the door to a test of the resistance between 1.1585 and 1.1600.

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3102. Markets are generally hopeful that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for a third consecutive time in December, keeping them higher on Monday. According to the CME FedWatch tool, interest rate traders expect interest rates to drop to 25 basis points on December 10, with a probability of nearly 80%. However, there is still a lot of leeway, and there is a more than 98% probability that if the December rate cut fails to materialize, the Fed will cut interest rates again before January 28. Technically, if this attempt is successful, GBP/USD will move towards the nearest resistance, which lies in the 1.3145 to 1.3160 range.

Gold and crude oil market trend analysis

1) Gold market trend analysis

In the Asian market on Tuesday, gold hovered around 4136.84. Precious metal prices rose as expectations grew that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at its December policy meeting. Traders are awaiting the release of the weekly U.S. ADP employment change report, retail sales and producer price reports, which are expected later on Tuesday.

Technical aspect: From the perspective of price trends, gold successfully held the $4,000 mark last week. Although this was a small breakthrough, it was of great significance. The market is still in a consolidation phase: it continues to form a series of lower highs while holding on to this key support level. As of now, downside momentum appears to be contained, but this may only be a temporary respite. Another key level to watch is around $4,045, which has shown support on several occasions and has yet to see a daily close below this level. But the real focus of the long-short battle is still the $4,000 mark: if it falls decisively below this psychological round number, it may trigger further technical selling, allowing bears to take the dominant position. For now, holding prices above this level keeps the gold outlook neutral - but just barely. On the upside, $4,100 is the first important resistance level on the spot gold technical chart. Gold has failed to close above this level for five consecutive trading days, and due to this price levelPreviously acting as a support level, its role as a resistance level has added a slight bearish bias to the market. Further up is the more critical $4145-4160 range - this former support band was broken during the recent decline, and it is highly likely that gold prices will retest this range from below.

2) Crude oil market trend analysis

On Tuesday in the Asian market, crude oil was trading around 58.73. Market expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in December have boosted risk assets. At the same time, investors are cautious about Russia's ability to successfully reach a peace agreement in Ukraine that will promote its oil exports, limiting the decline in oil prices. The market is paying close attention to the upcoming U.S. economic data and further progress in the Russia-Ukraine peace talks. These factors will continue to dominate short-term oil price trends.

Technical: From a technical perspective, the trend is still dominated by the 50-day moving average ($60.60) and the 200-day moving average ($64.40) - both of which are well above the current trading price, forming strong resistance levels. On the upside, bulls will need to break above the 61.8% retracement level at $58.51, and especially the 50% retracement level at $59.29, to regain upward momentum. Unless buyers manage to hold on to Friday's low of $57.38, crude oil prices could drop further to $55.96. Although a rebound is possible, it will need support from real buying, not just short covering. At present, the market still tends to be bearish.

Foreign exchange market transaction reminder on November 25, 2025

21:30 US September retail sales monthly rate

21:30 US September PPI annual rate set monthly rate

2 2:00 Monthly rate of FHFA house price index in the United States in September

22:00 Annual rate of S&P/CS non-seasonally adjusted house price index in 20 major cities in the United States in September

23:00 Monthly rate of xmniubi.commercial inventory in the United States in August

23:00 Monthly rate of U.S. existing home contracted sales index in October

23:00 U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index in November

23:00 U.S. Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index in November

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market news

Major global events are breaking out intensively! The Federal Reserve released a strong signal to cut interest rates, and gold soared nearly $100 in a single day.

Analysis of major currency trends

Gold and crude oil market trend analysis

1) Gold market trend analysis

2) Crude oil market trend analysis

Foreign exchange market transaction reminder on November 25, 2025

Related News

Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market news

Major global events are breaking out intensively! The Federal Reserve released a strong signal to cut interest rates, and gold soared nearly $100 in a single day.

Analysis of major currency trends

Gold and crude oil market trend analysis

1) Gold market trend analysis

2) Crude oil market trend analysis

Foreign exchange market transaction reminder on November 25, 2025

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason